STEELERS AT RAVENS (-1)
Last year these 2 AFC North archrivals slugged their way thru 2 low scoring taffy pulls in the regular season. The Ravens won by 3 at Pittsburgh, and the Steelers won by 3 at Baltimore. The Steelers won the rubber match 31-24 in the AFC Wildcard round. That tells me the Ravens have been training Rocky in Russia style all offseason long to avenge the is defeat, and will avenge it in Week 1, followed by an existential crisis and colossal letdown in Week 2.
RAVENS 23, STEELERS 20
LIONS AT BUCS (-1)
Oh the sexiness of these 2 preseason sexy sleeper picks! The Lions ranked 20th or worse in Y/A on both offense and defense against both the run and the pass last year. They are good how? Then again, the Bucs got gashed by Maurice Morris of all people for 100+rushing yards when the Lions beat them 23-20 in OT late last season, and Cal Johnson went bonkers for 10 catches and 150+ yards. Irregardless, I'm way more on board with the Bucs than I am with the Lions.
BUCS 27, LIONS 17
FALCONS (-2.5) AT BEARS
I've never been a huge Lovie Smith fan, but the smoke and mirrors he used to get a very ordinary Bears team playing the NFC Championship game at home last year convinced me he's a really good coach. Luck has a way of running out though.
FALCONS 23, BEARS 10
BILLS AT CHIEFS (-4.5)
The line on this game has dropped from 6 1/2 to 4 1/2 since it opened. Apparently people are hedging on the Chiefs. But still, the Bills people. Worst run defense in the league last year facing the 4th ranked run offense, on the road. I'm betting both kidneys on KC.
CHIEFS 30, BILLS 17
COLTS AT TEXANS (-9)
The last time the Texans faced Kerry Collins, Collins threw 2 TDs and the Texans lost 31-17. If I lose my kidneys on the Bills/Chiefs game, I will win them back plus a liver on this one.
TEXANS 23, COLTS 20
EAGLES (-4) AT RAMS
Are Rams male Goats? I took my son to the petting zoo yesterday, he was pretty afraid of the goats and I have to say I agree with him. I take that as a sign.
RAMS 27, EAGLES 17
BENGALS AT BROWNS (-6.5)
The Browns are favored by 6 1/2? In their last 32 games the Browns have won by 7 or more points 5 times. The laws of probability are not in their favor here.
BROWNS 17, BENGALS 13
TITANS AT JAGUARS PICK 'EM
JAGUARS 30, TITANS 24
GIANTS -2.5 AT REDSKINS
Rex Grossman claws his way out of the sarcophagus to become an NFL starting QB again, and now he's listed as doubtful? I am doubtful of my will to live.
GIANTS 20, REDSKINS 10
PANTHERS AT CARDINALS (-7)
GARY SINISE LOOKALIKE READY TO QB CARDS TO 7 WIN SEASON
CARDS 27, PANTHERS 9
SEAHAWKS AT NINERS (-5 1/2)
Much like the Browns being favored by 6 1/2, I can't figure out why the 49ers would be 5 1/2 points against any team where most of the players have their high school diplomas.
NINERS 23, SEAHAWKS 21
VIKINGS AT CHARGERS (-8 1/2)
The Chargers favored by more than a TD in September? I'm going to be taking a golden shower in a golden bathtub after I collect all my winnings this week.
CHARGERS 27, VIKINGS 24
COWBOYS AT JETS (-6)
I might be missing something but Dallas looks bad to me.
JETS 27, COWBOYS 13
Friday, September 9, 2011
So it's only been what, like 11 months since my last post?
In that time I've been finding out how hard it is to be a parent, changed jobs and danced ever so delicately on the fine line between sanity and not sanity. But football season is now back and so am I, and after last nights 5 star opener between the Packers and Saints, I feel re-invigorated.
Last night's matchup between the previous 2 years Super Bowl winners had it all. If "all" does not include defense, which it did not include at all. Of course, in this day and age where Fantasy Football is more important than real football, and people want to tune in to see their imaginary team members put up lots of touchdowns, Thursday Night's 42-34 Green Bay win over the Saints was exactly what football fans salivated for over a long sweltering summer where it was unsure if we'd ever see NFL football before the Mayan Apocalypse.
The game came down to a final untimed play, when an AJ Hawk PI penalty in the end zone gave the Saints one chance to punch it in from the one and thus earn a potentially game tying 2 point conversion attempt. Sean Payton made the interesting choice of putting the game in the hands of a rookie RB, Mark Ingram, who had averaged barely 3 yards a carry in an unimpressive pro debut, rather than the Pro Bowl QB who had disemboweled the supposedly good Packers defense for 419 passing yards, or even the veteran running back, Pierre Thomas, who had run effectively for 31 yards on just 5 carries. Ingram was stuffed for no gain in what may have been the only play from scrimmage in the whole game that didn't pick up at least 10 yards, and the Packers held on for a shaky win.
I admire the Saints pluck and tenacity in bringing a game which looked on numerous occasions like it would disintegrate into a blowout all the way down to the last play. However, remember the last time we saw them, their defense was getting 41 points hung on them by the mighty Seahawk juggernaut, and in this opener that defense was still non-functional. That's a problem they have to resolve.
The Packers, meanwhile, looked unbeatable according to what Mel Kiper Jr. said on the radio this morning. What? Unbeatable? They were 1 yard away from losing..how is that unbeatable? I missed idiotic football commentary almost as much as I missed football itself.
Posted by GRRM Jr. at 12:59 PM